I know how to pick 'em!
Feast your eyes on my "official" ballot. I filled this out at work on Friday — before I even finished my "Road to the Oscars Moviefest".
I believe you can click on that image to see it full size. The starred items are my predictions and the yellow highlighted items are the winners. As you can see, they are often one and the same. I was 16 for 24 — and I should have been 17! I don't know WHAT I was thinking not picking "Jai Ho" for Song!
But I got all the biggies — Picture, Director, Screenplay, Actor, Actress. And it was enough for second place in the contest at my office — and a prize of a $30 movie theater gift card. Yah! More movies!